Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.062360 0.073204 0.085310 0.099819 0.116730 0.135813 0.158976
2025-08-03 0.046223 0.060500 0.078174 0.101632 0.131920 0.169686 0.220341
2025-08-10 0.037337 0.053157 0.074368 0.104813 0.147324 0.204515 0.287258
2025-08-17 0.029419 0.044929 0.067151 0.101188 0.151894 0.224517 0.336335
2025-08-24 0.024589 0.039906 0.063144 0.100791 0.160084 0.249684 0.395184
2025-08-31 0.020715 0.035505 0.059129 0.099371 0.165978 0.271560 0.451316
2025-09-07 0.018345 0.033040 0.057629 0.101458 0.177326 0.302866 0.525875
2025-09-14 0.015891 0.029980 0.054603 0.100393 0.183032 0.325348 0.588329
2025-09-21 0.013657 0.026921 0.051073 0.097814 0.185543 0.342393 0.643136
2025-09-28 0.011748 0.024142 0.047606 0.094766 0.186625 0.356766 0.694547
2025-10-05 0.010789 0.023047 0.047106 0.097185 0.198133 0.391310 0.787331
2025-10-12 0.009787 0.021699 0.045908 0.098021 0.206580 0.420918 0.874011
2025-10-19 0.008873 0.020421 0.044720 0.098816 0.215262 0.452436 0.969344
2025-10-26 0.008124 0.019388 0.043904 0.100288 0.225573 0.488536 1.078784
2025-11-02 0.007588 0.018749 0.043836 0.103359 0.239682 0.534119 1.213796
2025-11-09 0.006633 0.016974 0.040986 0.099770 0.238559 0.547057 1.279479
2025-11-16 0.006013 0.015909 0.039608 0.099376 0.244615 0.576340 1.385098
2025-11-23 0.005406 0.014779 0.037913 0.097974 0.248089 0.600148 1.480948
2025-11-30 0.005059 0.014265 0.037645 0.100033 0.260148 0.645130 1.631993
2025-12-07 0.004589 0.013346 0.036229 0.098982 0.264347 0.671937 1.742311
2025-12-14 0.004103 0.012302 0.034341 0.096438 0.264398 0.688633 1.829565
2025-12-21 0.003652 0.011286 0.032385 0.093433 0.262835 0.701097 1.907560
2025-12-28 0.003463 0.011005 0.032392 0.095819 0.276036 0.752712 2.093471